These differences are roughly consistent with the share of White voters in each partys coalition in 2016. Within the Protestant tradition, White evangelicals accounted for 19% of all voters, but a much higher share of Trumps voters (34%). (+1) 202-419-4300 | Main Biden has shown signs of dementia and is not mentally capable of being president he cant finish a sentence and speaks gibberish The Center has also conducted similar analyses for the early months of the four prior administrations: those of Donald Trump, Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. Voters like Trumps strong stance against China in the trade war Or, such a story could be framed around the evaluation of the president in terms of his outreach to and relationship with members of Congress, which would then be coded as leadership and character. While he still won this group by a little more than two-to one (66% to Bidens 31%), that 35 percentage point gap is notably smaller than the 50-point gap in the 2016 election, when 73% of White men without a college degree supported Trump, compared with 23% who supported Clinton. White Catholics made up 14% of all voters. Biden had already reversed Trump's deregulatory efforts. Biden and Trump benefited from similar levels of party loyalty in 2020, with Trump receiving 92% support among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents and Biden getting 94% among Democrats and Democratic leaners. Urban and suburban voters were considerably more likely than rural voters to say they cast their ballot by mail (50% of urban and suburban vs. 35% of rural voters). Another stark difference in the early coverage of the Biden and Trump administrations was in how stories were framed. These patterns also are apparent when the lens is shifted to birth cohorts, or generations groups of voters who share birth years and perhaps formative political experiences in common, such as the popularity of the president at the time they were first eligible to vote. Now I should mention another important point about my analysis. Turnout differences by race and ethnicity persisted as well. Notably, Boomers and Silents (and the very small number of voters from the Greatest Generation) made up less than half of the electorate in 2020 (44%), compared with just over half in both 2016 and 2018. Comparably smaller shares of Black (20%) and Hispanic voters (18%) said the same. Some voters believe our country is in a shambles and another four years of President Trump will leave us without any allies in Europe. There may also have been sources used outside the types listed above that were not captured in this study. But a post on social media claims one difference . Prior to 2016, differences in candidate preferences by education were typically much smaller than they were that year. Bidens been in hiding But while the percentage of Biden stories with an overall negative assessment (32%) modestly outnumbered the share with positive assessments (23%), stories with negative assessments of Trump outnumbered those with positive assessments by four-to-one (44% to 11%). Trump looked immature by refusing to wear a mask for so long Overall, Biden voters were younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters. The poll, released Wednesday, shows the . Nonvoters citizens for whom no record of turnout could be located or who told us they did not vote preferred Joe Biden over Donald Trump by 15 percentage points, 50% to 35%, compared with Bidens 4-point overall advantage among voters. . In 2016, about half of Clintons voters described their communities as suburban (48%), while 32% said they were from an urban area and 19% were from a rural area. Still, Biden currently has a higher. Two of the questions were correctly answered by large majorities of Americans: a question about the proposed increased national minimum wage (81% correctly answered $15 an hour) and a question about the number of doses required for the COVID-19 vaccines approved in the U.S. (69% correctly answered that the number of doses required varies depending on the vaccine).4. For more details, see the methodology. Rich Thau, the project coordinator, has released a lot of interesting comments by voters on these panels, although he admits his sample size is too small to represent a poll in its own right. 2. Those who get political news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences vary about a third (34%) say they see their news sources covering immigration the most, 27% say this of the coronavirus outbreak and 21% say the U.S. economy gets the most coverage from their sources. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, Part 1: Study of coverage by 25 news outlets during the first 60 days of Biden administration, Part 2: Survey of U.S. adults views of news coverage of the Biden administration, Terminology for elements of news coverage studied, 1. At the same time, the outlets with right-leaning audiences were much more likely to cite other journalists and media outlets (35% of stories, versus 17% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences and 15% in mixed-audience outlets). President Trump has offensive reactions to events Thestock market has hitrecord high after record high, helping moreAmericans build wealthand secure their futures." The corporate tax cut is projected to lower tax revenues by $2 . By contrast, older age groups divided fairly evenly between Biden and Trump, a result not too different from 2016. Editors: Warner Todd Huston, Rick, David Robertson, Doug Johnson, DJ Drummond, Michael Laprarie, Baron Von Ottomatic, Shawn Mallow, Dan Karipides, Michael Avitablile, Charlie Quidnunc, Steve Schippert, Comment Section Editors: Maggie Whitton, Rodney Graves, Emeritus: Jay Tea, Lorie Byrd, Kim Priestap, Paul, Mary Katherine Ham, Jim Addison, Alexander K. McClure, Cassy Fiano, Bill Jempty, John Stansbury, Rob Port. Trump's indictment in Manhattan for paying hush money to a porn star yanked the spotlight off of DeSantis. Other Democrats are younger and nimbler, but Biden has been a better president than many expected - and he could be Donald Trump's nemesis again Fri 14 Apr 2023 07.00 EDT Last modified on Fri . Stories were collected from television, radio, digital and print outlets and coded by a team of nine coders trained specifically for this project. All members of the American Trends Panel who took the 2020 post-election survey whether they voted or not were asked which candidate they preferred in the race for president. This study classified stories into one of two main frames (whichever accounted for more than 50% of the story): For example, an article or segment about health care could be framed around the legislative differences in what the administration is proposing versus members of Congress (thus coded as core ideology and policy agenda). Voters were nearly evenly divided on party affiliation, with 50% identifying or leaning Democratic and 48% identifying or leaning Republican, similar to the 51%-48% split in 2016. So are Bidens border policies turning into a copy of Trumps? Biden did considerably better among suburban voters in 2020 than Clinton did in 2016 (54% for Biden, 45% for Clinton). Biden has not said he is willing to debate Trump that voters recall That puts Harris' rating under . Younger voters also made up an outsize share of these voters: Those under age 30 made up 38% of new or irregular 2020 voters, though they represented just 15% of all 2020 voters. Meanwhile, White men with a four-year college degree have become increasingly supportive of Democratic candidates, breaking close to evenly in 2016 (47% for Clinton, 44% for Trump) but supporting Biden by a 10-point margin in 2020. The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other categories. About four-in-ten (39%) say the assessments have been about an even mix of positive and negative. The Center has analyzed news coverage of the beginning of each of the five presidential administrations since President Bill Clinton in 1993. The same share of stories about each president were neither positive nor negative (45% for both Biden and Trump). Trump beats Biden, Harris in 2024 match-ups: poll. Its unclear what Biden has done in the past 40+ years to help heal race issues This study marries official turnout records with a post-election survey among a large, ongoing survey panel, with the goal of improving the accuracy of the results compared with relying on self-reported turnout alone. News outlets with right-leaning audiences used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3. For those with media diets only on the left, nearly two-thirds (64%) say the coronavirus is the most covered of the five topics. And among the outlets with right-leaning audiences, immigration was the most covered topic area. Voters think Biden has the experience to do the job. Some nuances emerge, though, within peoples media diets. Do not just show up at the border, Biden warned potential migrants. Biden has soft advantages here, but these threats could keep Trump from winning critical independents and moderates in the election if he ignore them. The survey also asked how much Americans had heard about each of seven specific efforts and initiatives of the new administration. In response to President Trump, Biden say's "these kids came with parents.. separated them at the border to make it a disincentive to come to begin . The one area where there was less divergence by media outlet group, however, was in the framing of the Biden stories. Markets Roundup The latest news & analysis. One similarity in coverage of the two most recent administrations has been the main source cited in news stories: Just as the Trump administration was by far the most cited source in news stories soon after Trump became president (cited in 74% of stories), so is the Biden administration the most cited source now (82%). Adults with a high school education or less were 29% of all voters but half of nonvoters. Finally, what opportunities the voters see for Trump: Voters doubt Biden can do what hes saying hell do About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. In all, about three-quarters (78%) of their stories offered a negative assessment of the administration and its actions, with only 4% offering a positive assessment. By contrast, about a third of Trump voters (32%) voted by mail. Although the Biden administration eventually announced it was planning to end Title 42 restrictions last year, pending litigation has kept them in place for the foreseeable future. People were then organized into five media diet groups based on the audience of the outlets they frequent. Biden is the lesser of two evils Voters as a group were considerably older than nonvoters. "How does this offering support the company's mission and objectives?" Ask how the product or service will directly support and enhance the company's mission and strategic objectives. On the other hand, former Vice President Joe Biden has a different opinion. Donald Trump is already signaling that he will run for president in 2024. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. The 2020 presidential election was historic in many ways. Comparable levels of support for each candidate were seen among Democrats (95% for Biden) and Republicans (94% for Trump), not including leaners. This is the latest report in Pew Research Centers ongoing investigation of the state of news, information and journalism in the digital age, a research program funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts, with generous support from the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation. (+1) 202-857-8562 | Fax A new analysis of validated 2020 voters from Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel examines change and continuity in the electorate, both of which contributed to Bidens victory. These shares were reversed among absentee and mail-in voters: 65% of absentee voters said they voted for Biden, compared with 33% who voted for Trump. New polls suggest Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024. First, that is a long list, meaning that despite what the media says, Trump has a large number of ways he can reach re-election. Stories with a negative assessment are defined as those with at least twice as many negative as positive statements related to the Biden administration, while those with a positive tone had at least twice as many positive as negative statements. When asked whether five key priorities of the new administration were getting too much attention, too little attention or the right amount of coverage, only one such topic the COVID-19 pandemic was identified by a majority of Americans (58%) as getting the right amount. Most of the qualities in my analysis come directly from voter responses by voters contacted by the Swing Voter Project, a series of focus groups contacted from March 2019 to now and all the way to November 2, the day before the election. Generation Xers, those ages 40 to 55 in 2020, divided relatively evenly (51% to 48%), as did Baby Boomers. 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA A majority of Biden voters said they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election (58%). Trump handled the death of George Floyd poorly in most voters' minds Biden is the "lesser of two evils" Trump's honesty appears challenged Trump "runs his mouth" too much (but he gets the job done) Trump looked immature by refusing to wear a mask for so long Trump's cabinet appears dishonest. This provides an important difference from normal polls, in that voters are allowed to speak their mind in their own words. This is important because The impeachment put a bad taste in the mouth of voters who now apply that to new conditions White non-evangelical Protestants voted for Trump over Biden by a 14-point margin (57%-43%), while Black Protestants were an overwhelmingly Democratic group (91% voted for Biden). Even on the day that President Joe Biden delivered his most jarring warning yet that democracy is in severe danger, Donald Trump teased how he might use a new White House term to further erode . Pew Research Center has studied news coverage of the start of each new administration since 1993, when Bill Clinton began his presidency. Overall, just under half of U.S. adults (46%) say that the early coverage theyve seen about the Biden administration has offered mostly positive assessments, while far fewer 14% say the news theyve come across has given mostly negative assessments. Protestants constituted nearly half of all voters (46%), as they did in 2016. Still, a comparison of the 2017 data for the full 100 days and the first 60 days found only minimal percentage differences and no changes in the overall findings (see Appendix B for details.). Overall, about one-in-five U.S. adults (22%) said that at the time of the survey they had been following news about Biden very closely, with another 44% following it fairly closely. Trump gets credit from some voters for de-escalating tensions with Iran even as he confronts Iranian nuclear misconduct The claim: Joe Biden added more jobs in a single month than Donald Trump netted during his entire term. Trump looks too eager to argue and fight, not work out solutions with Democrats White non-Hispanic Catholics were more supportive of Biden (at 42%) than they had been of Clinton in 2016 (31%), but Trump still captured a solid majority of their votes (57%). In the 2020 election, men again divided nearly evenly (50% Trump, 48% Biden), while Bidens advantage narrowed to 11 points among women (55% to 44%). At intellectual war with the Demonic Left, DJ posts whatever is on his mind, and sometimes has been known to be worth the read. Overall, third-party 2016 voters who turned out in 2020 voted 53%-36% for Biden over Trump, with 10% opting for a third-party candidate. Overall, urban voters continue to constitute a larger share of the Democratic coalition compared with the Republican coalition. Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. For example, in 2020, nearly half of Biden voters (49%) were younger than 50; that compares with 39% of Trump voters in 2020. In 2018, Trumps zero tolerance immigration policy shook liberals and conservatives alike as they learned about terrified children being ripped from the arms of parents who were now being prosecuted. Nearly two-in-ten voters who cast a ballot for Biden in the 2020 election (19%) were Black, identical to the share of Clinton voters in 2016 who were Black. among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. What these comments have in common, is that Trumps style and manner cause him to hurt his image. One difference to note in the Trump-Biden comparison is that the 2017 study covered the first 100 days of the administration, while this years study covers only the first 60 days. Trump mention: Each story was analyzed for whether former President Donald Trump was mentioned. US turns back growing number of undocumented people after arduous sea journeys, Love across the border: a couples 13-year quest to be reunited in the US, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. Fewer had heard a lot about the other topics mentioned, such as the pursuit of talks with Iran (just 10% said they had heard a lot). White women, a group sometimes categorized as swing voters and who broke nearly evenly in 2016 (47% for Trump to 45% for Clinton), favored him in 2020 (53% to 46%). Immigrants of color made headlines for supposedly coming here from shithole countries, and Mexican immigrants were called drug dealers, criminals and rapists. Cumulatively across the S&P 500, Trump is at 28.44% compared to Biden at 7.71% a difference of 20.72%. It also draws on surveys conducted among 10,640 panelists from Nov. 7-16, 2018, after the midterm election that year and 4,183 panelists from Nov. 29 to Dec. 12, 2016, after the general election. Despite strong approval ratings for his first six months in office, since August 2021 President Biden's disapproval rating has been higher than his approval rating. That is significantly higher than the share of Trump voters who were Black (2%). The Trump-Biden presidential contest. 2. Voters believe Biden will bring respect back to the presidency and to our country. Researchers coded stories from the 25 news outlets with content pulled from more than 45 specific programs or websites for a number of measures: Topic:News stories were first coded as being about one of 47 specific topicsor storylines (the most prominent topic within each story was coded as the storys overall topic). Among the 5% of Republicans who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, a majority (70%) supported Trump in 2020, but 18% backed Biden. While a traditional SWOT analysis follows the S-W-O-T pattern, I will start by building the case against him, then follow with the good news, so my analysis will actually follow a W-T-S-O pattern, which is less elegant as an acronym, but which I think presents the situation in a proper light. Those who voted in 2018 but not in 2016 backed Biden over Trump in the 2020 election by about two-to-one (62% to 36%). The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. So how is it, with these comments, that Biden is leading in the polls, and Trump seems almost desperate? In 2016, White, non-college women supported Trump by a margin of 56% to 33%. Today's Action Market Data Stocks Quick Takes Personal Finance Your Money Newsletter . This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of . (Americans who consume news from these outlets were also much more likely to report hearing a lot about immigration policy reform, according to the survey data.) Amid such an ideological quagmire, a reactive, confusing and often contradictory immigration agenda has emerged from this administration. The issue of Immigration in the United States has been at the top of Trump's priority during his stint in office. In outlets with a more mixed audience, the coverage of the Biden administration was also mixed: 25% of the stories had a positive assessment, 24% had a negative one and 51% were neither positive nor negative. Trump took 43% to Biden's 37%. Catholics made up similar shares of Biden and Trump voters (19% and 22%, respectively); in 2016, Catholics made up a slightly higher share of Trump voters compared with Clinton voters (23% vs. 18%). Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families. A yawning age gap in voter support a pattern that emerged in the 2004 presidential election for the first time since 1972 continues to be evident, with voters under 30 favoring Joe Biden by 24 percentage points (Biden 59%, Trump 35%). During these first 60 days, stories were slightly more likely to carry an overall negative assessment of the administration (32%) than a positive one (23%), though just under half were neither positive nor negative (45%).1. Similarly, as Biden increased his level of support among White men in the 2020 election relative to Clintons in 2016, Trump gained among White women, which had the effect of further narrowing the gender gap among White voters. Wizbang Caption Contest Winners Week of July 31, 2020, Polls and Bad Sausage: Another Look at the Business of Polling. Within a story, there needed to be at least twice as many positive as negative statements for a story to be considered positive and vice versa to be considered negative. Three-quarters of those who get their news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences say the subject of racial equality gets too much attention, far more than among those with a mixed-audience media diet (41%) and a left-only diet (13%).
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